Roger L. Martin · Roger L. Martin
articleinsightThe Logic of Strategy Arguments
14 September 2026Strategy
Source excerpt
About Roger L. MartinHow to Guard Against Arm Waving
This is a limited feed-provided excerpt, not the full original work.
Apollo layer
What a founder can learn
Founder takeaway
Treat strategy as a testable argument, not a collection of confident assertions: make the assumptions, choices, and cause-and-effect logic behind your plan explicit.
Why it matters
When the reasoning is visible, your team can challenge weak assumptions before scarce time and capital are committed—and learn more clearly from results.
Relevant guides
Put it to work
Write your strategy as: “We will choose X because we believe Y will cause Z.” Then ask your team which assumption is least supported and how you could test it cheaply.
Private notes